Argyle v Bristol Rovers - Pilgrim Punting
19th September 2015
AN impressive 2-1 win away at Wycombe moved the Pilgrims up to second place in League 2 last Saturday...
...today, Argyle play host to Bristol Rovers, who finished last season in second place in the National League before securing promotion through the play-offs.
Argyle are priced at 7/5 to pick up their sixth win in eight, whilst the Pirates, who have lost three on the bounce, are 9/5. Argyle have not drawn a competitive fixture since April 14, at home to AFC Wimbledon over five months ago, but that outcome is valued at 12/5.
Another record dating back to April, is the last time Argyle failed to score in a competitive fixture. The Pilgrims have scored in every competitive game since the journey to Carlisle on April 18, where Argyle lost 2-0. Argyle to score one is 13/8; two is 11/4 and three is 15/2.
A good scoreline to back would be 1-0 to either Argyle or Rovers. Five of the Pirates seven League 2 games this season have finished 1-0, with Rovers winning twice by that scoreline and losing three times by that deficit - their last two losses ended 1-0. That also fits in with the Pilgrims lack of draws, and is priced at 6/1 for a 1-0 Argyle win, and 7/1 for a 1-0 win to the Pirates.
Last week's win at Wycombe saw two of Argyle's forwards get on the scoresheet. They are both 7/4 to score anytime against Bristol Rovers, but a long term bet with better odds would be to back one of the Pilgrims' strikers to finish as League 2 top scorer. Jake Jervis is the lowest priced of the two, at 20/1, and Reuben Reid is valued at 25/1.
Another long term bet to consider, is Argyle for promotion. The Pilgrims currently sit in a promotion place - could they stay there until the end of the season? You can get odds of 7/4 for Argyle to secure promotion, or value of 9/1 for the Pilgrims to be crowned as champions at the end of the season.
Reuben Reid scored in the fourth minute against Wycombe. For Reid to repeat himself and score within the first ten minutes you can get value of 18/1. If you were confident of an early goal but not sure who by, you can get odds of 100/30 for a goal within the first ten minutes.
That's worth a punt, surely.